San Diego State sneaks past Wyoming in OT

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/23/2012 - San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jamaal Franklin scored the first five points of overtime and finished with 12 points all together to help No. 24 San Diego State sneak past Wyoming, 67-58, at Viejas Arena on Wednesday.

Garrett Green came off the bench to score 14 points on 6-of-6 shooting and Tim Shelton and Chase Tapley each chipped in 10 points apiece as the Aztecs (21-6, 7-4 MWC) snapped a three-game losing streak.

"We have to find a way to win. We can't be excuse-makers," said San Diego State head coach Steve Fisher. "We've got to make a play. We've got to dig and dig and dig and dig and make a play. That's what this team has done. We have fought and fought and fought and not given up. And I like the way we have fought."

Arthur Bouedo led Wyoming (18-9, 4-7) with 11 points and Adam Waddell netted 10 to go with six rebounds for the Cowboys, who lost their fourth straight contest.

Franklin scored the first five in the extra session, as his three-point play gave the Aztecs a 60-55 lead less than a minute into overtime.

Tapley managed a steal and a layup, but Francisco Cruz quickly answered with 1:44 remaining to make it a 62-57 contest.

Green responded with a thunderous dunk down the heart of the defense to press the lead back to seven.

The Aztecs held on down the stretch, going 3-of-4 from the charity stripe to secure the overtime victory.

The Cowboys took a 44-35 lead with 11:13 left, but went the next six-plus minutes without a field goal as the Aztecs reeled off a 10-1 to tie the game at 45.

Leonard Washington would end the drought by nailing a three but Franklin answered with a triple of his own to tie the game at 48 with just under four minutes remaining in the contest.

Leading 53-52, the Aztecs got two free throws from Green to take a two-point lead after a Luke Martinez missed foul shot, but Martinez responded with a three from the wing that hit nothing but net to tie the game at 55 with 29.2 seconds left, allowing the Aztecs to hold for the final shot.

Tapley drove the lane but came up short on the left-handed layup and Wyoming corralled the rebound with 1.7 still showing on the clock, but Wyoming came up empty on a desperation attempt at the buzzer.

"The critical thing tonight was we missed foul shots with 45 seconds left to take the lead and they came down and made two," Wyoming head coach Larry Shyatt said. "We had two chances to win it in regulation, but couldn't get them. I thought we shot the ball better in the second half tonight, which has been a nemesis for us the last five games."

Wyoming used an 11-2 run to jump out to an early 13-4, but San Diego State countered with a 12-3 run of its own to take a 26-24 lead.

The Cowboys took a 30-26 lead into the locker room after scoring the final six of the half.

Game Notes

The Aztecs have defeated Wyoming in five straight games for the first time during the all-time series which now stands at 37-34 in favor of Wyoming...The Cowboys finished 9-of-22 from long range, while the Aztecs made 3 of their 11 three-point attempts.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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